Obscura Confluence
Choose three. You may choose the same mode more than once. • Until end of turn, target creature loses all abilities and has base power and toughness 1/1. • Target creature connives. (Draw a card, then discard a card. If you discarded a nonland card, put a +1/+1 counter on that creature.) • Target player returns a creature card from their graveyard to their hand.
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Official rulings (3) · Scryfall
If no card is discarded, most likely because that player's hand is empty and an effect says they can't draw cards, the conniving creature does not receive a +1/+1 counter.
If a resolving spell or ability instructs a specific creature to connive but that creature has left the battlefield, the creature still connives. If you discard a nonland card this way, you won't put a +1/+1 counter on anything. Abilities that trigger “when [that creature] connives” will trigger.
Once an ability that causes a creature to connive begins to resolve, no player may take any other actions until it's done. Notably, opponents can't try to remove the conniving creature after you discard a nonland card but before it receives a counter.